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Will AI Replace Production & Manufacturing Jobs?

We analyzed 114 occupations in production & manufacturing to determine their AI replacement risk. The average risk score is 80/100.

114
Jobs Analyzed
80/100
Average Risk
97
High Risk (70+)
1
Low Risk (<30)

Risk Distribution

Critical (80-100)
90
High (60-79)
15
Moderate (40-59)
2
Low (20-39)
6
Very Low (0-19)
1

⚠️ Highest Risk Production & Manufacturing Jobs

Computer Numerically Controlled Tool Programmers

92

Develop programs to control machining or processing of materials by automatic machine tools, equipment, or systems. May ...

Power Distributors and Dispatchers

91

Coordinate, regulate, or distribute electricity or steam.......

Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers

91

Inspect, test, sort, sample, or weigh nonagricultural raw materials or processed, machined, fabricated, or assembled par...

Textile Bleaching and Dyeing Machine Operators and Tenders

90

Operate or tend machines to bleach, shrink, wash, dye, or finish textiles or synthetic or glass fibers.......

Gem and Diamond Workers

90

Fabricate, finish, or evaluate the quality of gems and diamonds used in jewelry or industrial tools.......

Electromechanical Equipment Assemblers

89

Assemble or modify electromechanical equipment or devices, such as servomechanisms, gyros, dynamometers, magnetic drums,...

Extruding and Drawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

89

Set up, operate, or tend machines to extrude or draw thermoplastic or metal materials into tubes, rods, hoses, wire, bar...

Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

89

Set up, operate, or tend grinding and related tools that remove excess material or burrs from surfaces, sharpen edges or...

Milling and Planing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

89

Set up, operate, or tend milling or planing machines to mill, plane, shape, groove, or profile metal or plastic work pie...

Model Makers, Metal and Plastic

89

Set up and operate machines, such as lathes, milling and engraving machines, and jig borers to make working models of me...

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

89

Lay out, machine, fit, and assemble castings and parts to metal or plastic foundry patterns, core boxes, or match plates...

Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

89

Set up, operate, or tend more than one type of cutting or forming machine tool or robot.......

+ 85 more high-risk jobs in Production & Manufacturing

✅ Safest Production & Manufacturing Jobs

All Production & Manufacturing Jobs by AI Risk

Job TitleRisk Score
Computer Numerically Controlled Tool Programmers92
Power Distributors and Dispatchers91
Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers91
Textile Bleaching and Dyeing Machine Operators and Tenders90
Gem and Diamond Workers90
Electromechanical Equipment Assemblers89
Extruding and Drawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic89
Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic89
Milling and Planing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic89
Model Makers, Metal and Plastic89
Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic89
Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic89
Tool and Die Makers89
Prepress Technicians and Workers89
Extruding and Forming Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Synthetic and Glass Fibers89
Coating, Painting, and Spraying Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders89
Machinists88
Packaging and Filling Machine Operators and Tenders88
Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic88
Textile Winding, Twisting, and Drawing Out Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders88
Nuclear Power Reactor Operators88
Gas Plant Operators88
Crushing, Grinding, and Polishing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders88
Cutting and Slicing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders88
Extruding, Forming, Pressing, and Compacting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders88
Ophthalmic Laboratory Technicians88
Semiconductor Processing Technicians88
Adhesive Bonding Machine Operators and Tenders88
Etchers and Engravers88
Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders88
Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers87
Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers87
Bakers87
Food Cooking Machine Operators and Tenders87
Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic87
Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic87
Drilling and Boring Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic87
Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders87
Heat Treating Equipment Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic87
Printing Press Operators87
Print Binding and Finishing Workers87
Patternmakers, Wood87
Stationary Engineers and Boiler Operators87
Chemical Plant and System Operators87
Grinding and Polishing Workers, Hand87
Dental Laboratory Technicians87
Medical Appliance Technicians87
Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers87
Cleaning, Washing, and Metal Pickling Equipment Operators and Tenders87
Cooling and Freezing Equipment Operators and Tenders87
Tire Builders87
Electrical and Electronic Equipment Assemblers86
Food Batchmakers86
Pourers and Casters, Metal86
Welding, Soldering, and Brazing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders86
Layout Workers, Metal and Plastic86
Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners86
Pressers, Textile, Garment, and Related Materials86
Woodworking Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Except Sawing86
Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers86
Biofuels Processing Technicians86
Chemical Equipment Operators and Tenders86
Mixing and Blending Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders86
Jewelers and Precious Stone and Metal Workers86
Helpers--Production Workers86
Coil Winders, Tapers, and Finishers85
Fiberglass Laminators and Fabricators85
Timing Device Assemblers and Adjusters85
Slaughterers and Meat Packers85
Food and Tobacco Roasting, Baking, and Drying Machine Operators and Tenders85
Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic85
Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic85
Plating Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic85
Model Makers, Wood85
Biomass Plant Technicians85
Hydroelectric Plant Technicians85
Water and Wastewater Treatment Plant and System Operators85
Cutters and Trimmers, Hand85
Engine and Other Machine Assemblers84
Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters84
Team Assemblers84
Meat, Poultry, and Fish Cutters and Trimmers84
Foundry Mold and Coremakers84
Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters84
Furniture Finishers84
Power Plant Operators84
Butchers and Meat Cutters83
Laundry and Dry-Cleaning Workers83
Sawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Wood83
Separating, Filtering, Clarifying, Precipitating, and Still Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders81
Fabric and Apparel Patternmakers75
Furnace, Kiln, Oven, Drier, and Kettle Operators and Tenders74
Glass Blowers, Molders, Benders, and Finishers74
Photographic Process Workers and Processing Machine Operators73
Textile Cutting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders72
Computer Numerically Controlled Tool Operators71
Molders, Shapers, and Casters, Except Metal and Plastic70
Potters, Manufacturing69
Stone Cutters and Carvers, Manufacturing68
Sewing Machine Operators65
Textile Knitting and Weaving Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders65
Tailors, Dressmakers, and Custom Sewers64
Shoe Machine Operators and Tenders62
Sewers, Hand60
Upholsterers60
Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers58
Production Workers, All Other40
Metal Workers and Plastic Workers, All Other38
Woodworkers, All Other37
Assemblers and Fabricators, All Other35
Food Processing Workers, All Other35
Plant and System Operators, All Other35
First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers34
Textile, Apparel, and Furnishings Workers, All Other18

Future-Proof Your Production & Manufacturing Career

With an average risk score of 80/100, production & manufacturing workers should prioritize building AI-complementary skills.

Frequently Asked Questions

Will AI replace production & manufacturing jobs?

Based on our analysis of 114 occupations, the average AI replacement risk in production & manufacturing is 80/100. 97 jobs face high risk, while 1 jobs have low risk. The impact varies significantly depending on the specific tasks involved in each role.

Which production & manufacturing jobs are most at risk?

The highest-risk jobs include Computer Numerically Controlled Tool Programmers (92/100), Power Distributors and Dispatchers (91/100), Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers (91/100). These roles involve repetitive or data-processing tasks that AI can increasingly handle.

How can production & manufacturing workers prepare for AI?

Focus on skills that AI struggles with: creative problem-solving, emotional intelligence, complex physical tasks, and strategic thinking. Consider learning to work alongside AI tools rather than competing with them. Upskilling in data literacy and AI fundamentals can also help you leverage these technologies in your current role.

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© 2026 ReplacedByAI · Data from O*NET 30.2 & AI automation research

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