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AI Replacement Risk by Industry

AI automation risk rankings for 23 industries covering 1,016+ US occupations. Sorted by average replacement risk — highest threat first.

23
Industries analyzed
1,016+
Jobs covered
3
Critical risk sectors
6
High risk sectors
Critical 70+High 55–69Moderate 40–54Low 25–39Very Low <25
🏢

Office & Administrative

Critical
Avg AI Risk83/100
55 occupations analyzed48 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Billing and Posting Clerks (94/100)
🏭

Production & Manufacturing

Critical
Avg AI Risk80/100
114 occupations analyzed97 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Computer Numerically Controlled Tool Programmers (92/100)
🍽️

Food Service

Critical
Avg AI Risk70/100
18 occupations analyzed14 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Cooks, Private Household (89/100)
🏗️

Construction

High
Avg AI Risk69/100
65 occupations analyzed37 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Pile Driver Operators (86/100)
🚛

Transportation

High
Avg AI Risk63/100
57 occupations analyzed31 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Pump Operators, Except Wellhead Pumpers (88/100)
🔧

Installation & Maintenance

High
Avg AI Risk61/100
52 occupations analyzed9 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians (77/100)
🌾

Agriculture & Forestry

High
Avg AI Risk61/100
14 occupations analyzed6 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Agricultural Inspectors (89/100)
🧹

Building & Grounds Maintenance

High
Avg AI Risk60/100
10 occupations analyzed5 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Pesticide Handlers, Sprayers, and Applicators, Vegetation (86/100)
💊

Healthcare Support

High
Avg AI Risk55/100
20 occupations analyzed3 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Medical Equipment Preparers (81/100)
🛡️

Protective Services

Moderate
Avg AI Risk54/100
28 occupations analyzed9 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Private Detectives and Investigators (89/100)
💼

Sales

Moderate
Avg AI Risk53/100
23 occupations analyzed7 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Parts Salespersons (88/100)
⚖️

Legal

Moderate
Avg AI Risk52/100
8 occupations analyzed2 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Paralegals and Legal Assistants (93/100)
⚙️

Engineering & Architecture

Moderate
Avg AI Risk49/100
59 occupations analyzed6 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Mechanical Drafters (91/100)
📊

Business & Finance

Moderate
Avg AI Risk48/100
50 occupations analyzed10 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Tax Preparers (94/100)
🔬

Science & Research

Moderate
Avg AI Risk46/100
66 occupations analyzed15 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Biological Technicians (93/100)
💻

Technology

Moderate
Avg AI Risk45/100
38 occupations analyzed1 high-risk job
Highest risk: Computer User Support Specialists (73/100)
✂️

Personal Care & Service

Moderate
Avg AI Risk43/100
34 occupations analyzed7 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Concierges (84/100)
📚

Education & Training

Moderate
Avg AI Risk40/100
68 occupations analyzed9 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Archivists (80/100)
🏥

Healthcare

Low
Avg AI Risk36/100
96 occupations analyzed5 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Pharmacy Technicians (86/100)
🎨

Arts, Media & Communications

Low
Avg AI Risk35/100
45 occupations analyzed6 high-risk jobs
Highest risk: Film and Video Editors (78/100)
👔

Management

Low
Avg AI Risk29/100
59 occupations analyzed
Highest risk: Investment Fund Managers (44/100)
🤝

Community & Social Services

Low
Avg AI Risk27/100
18 occupations analyzed
Highest risk: Mental Health Counselors (59/100)
🔹

Other

Very Low
Avg AI Risk17/100
19 occupations analyzed
Highest risk: Air Crew Officers (17/100)

Frequently Asked Questions

Which industry is most at risk from AI?

Office & Administrative and Production & Manufacturing are the most at-risk industries, with average AI replacement scores of 83/100 and 80/100 respectively. These sectors include roles like data entry clerks (97/100), billing clerks (95/100), and assemblers (85/100) that involve highly repetitive, rules-based tasks AI can replicate efficiently.

Which industries are safest from AI replacement?

Community & Social Services (27/100), Management (29/100), and Arts, Media & Communications (35/100) have the lowest average AI risk scores. Healthcare (36/100) and Education & Training (40/100) also rank among the most resilient due to their reliance on human empathy, judgment, and physical presence.

Is AI replacing more blue-collar or white-collar jobs?

Both are affected but in different ways. Blue-collar sectors like Production & Manufacturing (80/100 avg) face high risk from physical automation and robotics. White-collar sectors like Office & Administrative (83/100 avg) face high risk from AI software automation. The key distinction is that many manual trades (electricians, plumbers, carpenters) are surprisingly AI-resistant due to their physical complexity and variable environments.

Check Your Specific Job

Industry averages mask wide variation within each sector. Search our database of 1,000+ occupations for a precise AI replacement risk score.